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HTX Research Releases New Report on Prediction Markets: From Structural Constraints to the Future of Attention-Based Financial Infrastructure

Panama City —HTX Research, the research division of the global crypto exchange HTX, has released a new report titled Prediction Markets: From Structural Bottlenecks to Infrastructure Revolution and the Future of Attention Assets , dated Thu, Dec 4, 2025.…

BBy Brian ShawDec 04, 20252 min read

Panama City —HTX Research, the research division of the global crypto exchange HTX, has released a new report titled Prediction Markets: From Structural Bottlenecks to Infrastructure Revolution and the Future of Attention Assets , dated Thu, Dec 4, 2025. The report provides an analysis of prediction markets, examining their foundational aspects, growth trajectory, and future potential as a pricing infrastructure for attention-based assets.

In the first ten months of 2025, prediction markets saw a global trading volume of $27.9 billion, marking a 210% increase from 2024. These markets, characterized by small-cap participants, operate on mechanisms distinct from those of Memecoins. Participants can allocate small amounts across various events with transparent odds, which particularly benefits informed users in low-liquidity markets where information gaps exist.

Despite their growth, prediction markets face structural fragility. Liquidity remains heavily reliant on incentives, with some platforms previously spending over $50,000 daily on market-making subsidies. Challenges such as binary format limitations, weak discovery in thin markets, constrained event creation, and delays in oracle settlements indicate the early developmental stage of these markets.

To address existing structural challenges, new system designs are being introduced. These include just-in-time liquidity and continuous combinatorial markets, which enhance efficiency and reduce fragmentation. Additionally, new prediction structures and evolving distribution methods are transforming prediction markets into financial formats integrated into social networks.

In the first ten months of 2025, prediction markets saw a global trading volume of $27.9 billion, marking a 210% increase from 2024.
Brian Shaw · Thehackingpost

HTX Research identifies attention assets as a potential third major asset class, alongside cash flow and supply-demand assets. Representative tokens in this category include BAT and KAITO . The report suggests that prediction markets could serve as core pricing infrastructure for attention assets, creating indices that reflect real-world visibility.

Prediction markets are evolving from rapid growth to structural refinement. Innovations in liquidity, expressiveness, and distribution are reshaping market design. As attention-based assets become more defined, prediction markets are expected to play a significant role in bridging cultural and financial value, offering a more structured alternative to sentiment-driven markets like Memecoins.

HTX Research is the research arm of the HTX Group , conducting comprehensive analyses and reports on cryptocurrency, blockchain technology, and market trends. The division aims to provide data-driven insights and strategic foresight, contributing to informed decision-making in the digital asset space. Visit HTX Research for more information.

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Connect with HTX Research Team: research@htx-inc.com

Based on reporting by TechBullion.

AI transparency. This article was produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence and published under human editorial oversight. AI systems can make mistakes. Read how we use AI (EU AI Act, Art. 50).
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